Which are the key sources of uncertainty when modeling plant moisture content?

2026-05-26

Simulated (lines) and observed (dots) LFMC dynamics in two of the study sites analyzed.
DOI

Although process-based models are an attractive tool for monitoring live fuel moisture content (LFMC) dynamics, their application to operationally assess near-term wildfire danger at regional scale faces important challenges. We attached these sources of uncertainty using the MEDFATE modeling framework in our last study recently published in New Phytologist:

Balaguer-Romano, R., Sañé, A., Martin-StPaul, N., Ruffault, J., Gabriel, E., Castro, X., Pimont, F., Liu, X., Druel, A., Delzon, S. and De Cáceres, M. (2026), Key sources of uncertainty in process-based modeling of live fuel moisture content. New Phytol. https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.71286

Ecosystem Modelling Facility
Ecosystem Modelling Facility